P
Prognosist
P
Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › KV Mechelen — Union St. Gilloise

Predictions by Market: KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 W L D D L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 18:15
1:1
Full-time
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
L W L D W Away · last 5
Referee Lawrence Visser, Belgium

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MEC
13%
Best 5.60
Draw
22%
Best 4.33
Away Win · GIL
65%
Best 1.53
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.75
Fair odds
2.54
book 2.75 · +8.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +8.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (61%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 21.9%
Odds 4.27
Show model details
Implied probability 23.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 13.4%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.4%
Odds 4.52
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 13.4%
Odds 4.21
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 86.6%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MEC – GIL @ 2.75
+8.2%
Edge
Forecast →