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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Gent — Genk

Gent vs Genk 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Gent
Gent
Home · last 5 D D D L D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W D D W D Away · last 5
Ghelamco Arena · Ghent Referee Jan Boterberg, Belgium
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 63% · book 1.72 ✓
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 67% · book 1.60 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.57 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.45 – 0.76
Δ +0.69
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 5.00 — +10.1% better than the market.

Gent vs Genk Preview

Gent holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can press their attacking strengths effectively. Their recent form shows home momentum with key wins, while Genk’s compact defense might limit scoring chances. Expect a tactical battle with Gent’s offense testing Genk’s resilience, likely resulting in a controlled tempo and fewer goals.

  • Gent’s home edge supports a pressing style
  • Genk’s defensive solidity could stifle attacks
  • Recent form favors Gent’s momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 5.00 ✗ Lost
AI 22% Implied 20% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GEN 1 – 1 GEN
40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.76
18
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
5
6
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
5
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Gent and Genk drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.45 to 0.76. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.46 units (Brier 0.158).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.72 — 63% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.60 — 67% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
BTTS No 2.57 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.37 — 45% Cashed +1.37 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.45 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.66 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.21 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.62 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.35 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.54 — 58% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.37 — 62% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 — 78% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 3.70 — 25% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.46u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
GEN – GEN @ 5.00
+10.1%
Edge
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