Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.50 — +12.2% better than the market.

Charleroi hosts KVC Westerlo in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting stronger offensive numbers and a better overall rating. Charleroi's defensive frailties could be exploited by Westerlo's sharper attack, though the home side's slight form advantage and familiar turf provide some balance. Expect a tactical battle with Westerlo pressing higher and Charleroi relying on a compact block and counterattacks.

Westerlo's offensive edge against Charleroi's leaky defense
Home momentum may help Charleroi resist pressure
Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.50 ✗ Lost

AI 25% Implied 22% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CHA 4-2-3-1 · WES 4-2-3-1

CHA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · WES

21 Scheidler

Statistics

CHA 2 – 0 WES

39%

Possession (%)

61%

3.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Charleroi beat KVC Westerlo 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.32 to 1.18. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.47 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.45	—	45%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.25	—	49%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.45	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.68	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.13	—	38%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.67	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	70%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Away Win	3.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	62%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.57	—	38%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	75%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.47u	−20% ROI

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled