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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › KVC Westerlo — Genk

KVC Westerlo vs Genk 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
Home · last 5 D L W L L
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 12:30
0:1
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W D D W D Away · last 5
Het Kuipje · Westerlo Referee Michiel Allaerts, Belgium
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 63% · book 1.75 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.70 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 2.22 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.72 – 0.86
Δ −0.14
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.75 — +9.7% better than the market.

KVC Westerlo arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing a stronger attack against Genk's defense. Their recent form suggests resilience, while Genk's compact block and slightly lower offensive threat may limit scoring chances. Expect a moderately open game with Westerlo's pressing edge likely to create key moments.

  • Home side's offensive strength vs away defense
  • Westerlo's better recent form and home comfort
  • Moderate pace hinted by over 2.5 goals odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.75 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

WES 0 – 1 GEN
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.72
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.86
16
Total Shots
7
1
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
3
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Genk won 1–0 away at KVC Westerlo. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 1 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.48 units (Brier 0.303).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.75 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.70 — 57% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.22 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.67 — 36% Cashed +1.67 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.35 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.17 — 37% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.63 — 37% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Home Win 3.15 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 61% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
BTTS No 2.88 — 35% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 — 84% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 — 16% Cashed +5.00 Cashed
Draw 4.00 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 20.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +2.48u +15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
WES – GEN @ 1.75
+9.7%
Edge
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