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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Zulte Waregem — Gent

Zulte Waregem vs Gent 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 17:15
4:1
Full-time
Gent
Gent
D D D L D Away · last 5
Elindus Arena · Waregem Referee Eric Lambrechts, Belgium
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.56 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 72% · book 1.50 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.51 ✗
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
2.02 – 1.90
Δ +0.12
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.50 — +7.9% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Zulte Waregem and Gent, the visitors hold a slight edge. Gent's attacking profile and overall strength suggest they could secure an away win, with an estimated probability of 46.93% against odds of 2.56. The Double Chance X2 market also presents value, offering a safer option with a high confidence level. Both teams have the potential to score, but the odds favor a more conservative approach with the Under 3.5 goals market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.50 ✗ Lost
AI 72% Implied 67% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

WAR 4 – 1 GEN
40%
Possession (%)
60%
2.02
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.90
15
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
7
13
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
12
4
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
16
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
0
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Zulte Waregem beat Gent 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 3. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.02 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.45 units (Brier 0.241).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.56 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.51 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.20 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.70 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.74 — 28% Cashed +1.74 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 57% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.23 — 78% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.51 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.70 — 54% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.70 — 32% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.55 — 53% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.01 — 28% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.89 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.45u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
WAR – GEN @ 1.50
+7.9%
Edge
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