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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Cercle Brugge — Genk

Cercle Brugge vs Genk 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 11:30
2:2
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W D D W D Away · last 5
Jan Breydel Stadium · Bruges Referee Wesli De Cremer, Belgium
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.25 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 74% · book 1.39 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.57 ✓
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.26 – 1.92
Δ +0.34
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.25 — +13.5% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Cercle Brugge and Genk, the away side appears to have a slight edge. Genk's attacking profile and overall strength suggest they are well-positioned to secure a victory, with an estimated 50.44% chance of winning, compared to the 44.44% implied by the odds. The odds of 2.25 for an Away Win offer a decent return. Additionally, the Double Chance X2 market provides a safer option with a 74.21% estimated probability, slightly higher than the 71.94% implied by the odds. Expect a competitive match with both teams likely to score, as indicated by the BTTS Yes market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.25 ✗ Lost
AI 50% Implied 44% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

CER 2 – 2 GEN
36%
Possession (%)
64%
2.26
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.92
15
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
6
10
Shots Inside Box
11
4
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
16
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Cercle Brugge and Genk drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.93 units (Brier 0.186).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.25 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.39 — 74% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 60% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.28 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.67 — 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 3.11 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.85 — 24% Cashed +2.85 Cashed
BTTS No 2.51 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 — 80% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.70 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 — 35% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.70 — 50% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.30 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.64 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.93u −11% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
CER – GEN @ 2.25
+13.5%
Edge
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