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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Union St. Gilloise — Charleroi

Predictions by Market: Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 L W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 18:45
3:1
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L D W Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GIL
72%
Best 1.40
Draw
20%
Best 4.60
Away Win · CHA
9%
Best 7.50
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.90
Fair odds
2.53
book 2.90 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 40% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (60%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.9%
Odds 4.83
Show model details
Implied probability 20.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 8.5%
Odds 8.44
Show model details
Implied probability 11.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.1%
Odds 13.90
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.5%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 8.5%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GIL – CHA @ 2.90
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →