Match Genk vs Dender October 5, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Genk vs Dender — betting preview

Genk carry a clear overall edge at home with stronger build-up play and deeper attacking layers. Dender’s recent trend is fragile, with limited creation and heavy reliance on moments. Expect the hosts to control territory and chance quality; if Genk score first, the game can open into a multi-goal script. A longer stalemate still keeps Dender pinned back, which supports fades of the away goal and a leaning to the higher totals band.

Main risks: set-piece variance, an early Dender counter flipping game state, and late-game chaos if Genk chase margin rather than game control.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · DEN 5-3-2

GEN · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · DEN

99 Erabi

📊 Statistics

GEN 2 – 1 DEN

66%

Possession (%)

34%

1.85

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.76

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk beat Dender 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 10, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 6 graded markets, 2 landed and 4 missed, for a net -3.02 units (Brier 0.118).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

6 · 2 W · 4 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.45	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.59	—	65%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.39	—	72%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Away Win	8.35	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.10	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 6 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	2 W · 4 L	−3.02u	−50% ROI