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Home England Premier League Everton — Manchester City

Predictions Everton vs Manchester City May 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Everton
Everton
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Mon 04 May · 19:00
3:3
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool Referee M. Oliver
Home Win · EVE
12%
Best 7.00
Draw
20%
Best 4.88
Away Win · MCI
69%
Best 1.52
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.37
book 2.40 · +1.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 42% · EV +1.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.8%
Odds 5.03
Show model details
Implied probability 19.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 31.4%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.