Match Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. May 17, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.50 — +13.7% better than the market.

Trabzonspor Looks to Assert Dominance at Papara Park

Trabzonspor holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum despite a mixed recent form. Their attacking strength is likely to challenge Genclerbirligi's defense, which has struggled against potent offenses. The visitors' inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest Trabzonspor can control the pace and create key chances. Expect a tactical battle with Trabzonspor pressing high and exploiting set-piece opportunities.

Home advantage with a pressing edge
Strong attacking vs weaker away defense
Genclerbirligi's shaky recent form

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.50 ✗ Lost

AI 25% Implied 22% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TRA 4-2-3-1 · GEN 4-1-4-1

TRA · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · GEN

18 Nayir

📊 Statistics

TRA 0 – 3 GEN

63%

Possession (%)

37%

0.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 3–0 away at Trabzonspor. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.64 to 0.58.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.84 units (Brier 0.179).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.72	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	49%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.23	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.40	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.72	—	50%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Away Win	2.20	—	37%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.51	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.78	—	37%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	70%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Home Win	3.28	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.37	—	62%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	—	75%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.84u	−23% ROI