Match Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa May 9, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.76 — +12.0% better than the market.

Genclerbirligi hosts Kasimpasa in a clash where defensive solidity stands out. Kasimpasa's stronger overall quality and recent form edge contrast with Genclerbirligi's home momentum and slightly better recent points per game. The home side's offense faces a tough Kasimpasa defense, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Kasimpasa's defensive discipline may stifle Genclerbirligi's attack.
Genclerbirligi's home edge could keep the match tight.
Odds hint at a low-scoring, cautious encounter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.76 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · KAS 4-2-3-1

GEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KAS

22 Koita

📊 Statistics

GEN 3 – 2 KAS

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.93

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gençlerbirliği S.K. beat Kasımpaşa 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 14 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.54 units (Brier 0.300).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.76	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.91	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.17	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.48	—	32%	Cashed	+1.48	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.16	—	36%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	42%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.75	—	32%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Away Win	3.14	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.89	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.58	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	59%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.30	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.30	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	86%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	62%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.52	—	19%	Cashed	+2.52	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.54u	−9% ROI

Match Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa May 9, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.76 — +12.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled