Match Wolves vs Sunderland May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.81 — +14.4% better than the market.

Sunderland arrive at Molineux with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Wolves' home advantage. Wolves' defensive solidity may keep the game tight, but Sunderland's sharper attack could test their backline. Expect a cautious tempo with limited goal-scoring chances given the strong defensive setups and recent low-scoring trends.

Sunderland's superior quality and form give them a tactical edge.
Wolves' compact defense may restrict space and chances.
Likely a measured pace favoring under 2.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 55% +0.81u

+81%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WOL 3-4-2-1 · SUN 4-2-3-1

WOL · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · SUN

14 Arokodare

Subs used · WOL

46'

Gomes ↑ ·

Lima ↓

78'

Gomes ↑ ·

Bueno ↓

90+3'

Edozie ↑ ·

Arokodare ↓

Subs used · SUN

72'

Diarra ↑ ·

Sadiki ↓

72'

Cirkin ↑ ·

Mandava ↓

72'

Isidor ↑ ·

Brobbey ↓

📊 Statistics

WOL 1 – 1 SUN

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.78

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 1

17'

⚽

N. Mukiele

Assist · G. Xhaka · 0–1

24'

▮

D. Ballard

Red Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

R. Gomes ↓ · Pedro Lima ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

45+2'

▮

B. Brobbey

Yellow Card

S. Bueno

Assist · H. Bueno · 1–1

⚽

54'

56'

▮

G. Xhaka

Yellow Card

72'

⇄

H. Diarra ↓ · N. Sadiki ↑

Substitution 1

72'

⇄

D. Cirkin ↓ · R. Mandava ↑

Substitution 2

72'

⇄

W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑

Substitution 3

A. Gomes ↓ · H. Bueno ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

81'

▮

D. Cirkin

Yellow Card

90+2'

▮

R. Roefs

Yellow Card

T. Edozie ↓ · T. Arokodare ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Wolves and Sunderland drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.78 to 0.64. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Mukiele (17'), S. Bueno (54'). D. Ballard was sent off in the 24' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.23 units (Brier 0.165).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.81	1.89	63%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	1.98	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.13	2.00	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.58	1.50	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.65	1.74	50%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.17	1.91	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.81	1.80	44%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.62	2.70	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	3.40	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	10.00	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.39	1.29	77%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.28	1.29	81%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	1.03	87%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.44	3.60	27%	Cashed	+2.44	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	1.29	63%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Home Win	3.86	3.68	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	3.40	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.23u	−19% ROI