P
Prognosist
P
Home Turkey Süper Lig Samsunspor — Galatasaray

Match Samsunspor vs Galatasaray May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 17:00
4:1
Full-time
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
W W L W L Away · last 5
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu · Samsun Referee R. Coskunses
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 62% · book 1.70
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.66
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.34
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
1.37 – 0.98
Δ +0.39
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Galatasaray enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a strong attacking profile, likely to challenge Samsunspor’s defense consistently. Despite Samsunspor’s solid recent form and home momentum, their defensive frailties could be exploited by Galatasaray’s sharper offense. The match hints at a moderately open pace, favoring goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

  • Galatasaray’s offensive firepower vs Samsunspor’s defensive vulnerabilities
  • Home side’s recent winning streak providing confidence
  • Potential for goals given the attacking vs defensive matchups and tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

SAM 41 GAL
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.37
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.98
13
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Corner Kicks
6
7
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
14
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
3
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Samsunspor beat Galatasaray 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.37 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +2.10 units (Brier 0.325).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.70 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.66 60% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.34 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 58% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.18 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.39 38% Cashed +1.39 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.22 38% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.21 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.46 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.25 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.26 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.15 80% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.25 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.78 15% Cashed +3.78 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.28 15% Cashed +2.28 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L +2.10u +14% ROI