P
Prognosist
P
Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Trabzonspor — Göztepe

Trabzonspor vs Göztepe 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
Home · last 5 D L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Göztepe
Göztepe
D W D W L Away · last 5
Papara Park · Trabzon Referee O. Ergun
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 59% · book 1.87 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.06 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.83 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.79 – 1.56
Δ −0.77
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.87 — +11.0% better than the market.

Trabzonspor holds a clear quality edge over Goztepe, boosted by strong home momentum and a potent attack facing a leaky away defense. Their recent form shows resilience with key wins, while Goztepe's defense struggles to contain pressure. Expect a lively pace at Papara Park, favoring Trabzonspor's pressing style and set-piece threat.

  • Home side's offensive edge against away defense
  • Better recent form and home confidence
  • Higher tempo likely to benefit Trabzonspor's style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.87 ✗ Lost
AI 59% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

TRA 1 – 1 GOZ
58%
Possession (%)
42%
0.79
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.56
10
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
12
8
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
22
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
6
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Trabzonspor and Göztepe drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.56 to 0.79. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.60 units (Brier 0.177).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.87 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.06 — 48% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.83 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.06 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 54% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.99 — 41% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 83% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.85 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.38 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 93% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 — 69% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.85 — 24% Cashed +2.85 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.74 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 — 76% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.70 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.21 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.24 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.60u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
TRA – GOZ @ 1.87
+11.0%
Edge
Forecast →