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Home Turkey Süper Lig Göztepe — Antalyaspor

Match Göztepe vs Antalyaspor April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Göztepe
Göztepe
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Antalyaspor
Antalyaspor
L L D L W Away · last 5
Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu · İzmir Referee Oguzhan Cakir, Türkiye
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.83
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.70
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.84
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.36 – 0.91
Δ +1.45
Possession
27% – 73%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.83 — +8.6% better than the market.

Goztepe arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing resilience in recent matches. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Antalyaspor's struggles to break down opponents, suggesting a tactical battle favoring the hosts. The home side's pressing and compact block should limit Antalyaspor's attacking threat, while the visitors' recent form hints at inconsistency.

  • Home defensive strength vs away offense
  • Better recent form and home comfort
  • Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 55% +0.83u
+83%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

GOZ 20 ANT
27%
Possession (%)
73%
2.36
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.91
16
Total Shots
19
8
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
9
15
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
2
24
Fouls
6
59%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Göztepe beat Antalyaspor 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 73% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.36 to 0.91. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.58 units (Brier 0.094).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.83 59% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Home Win 1.70 62% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
BTTS No 1.84 58% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.12 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.98 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.85 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.30 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 86% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.25 62% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.75 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 78% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 88% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.60 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 66% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.30 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.56 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.58u −33% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
GOZ – ANT @ 1.83
+8.6%
Edge
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