Match Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor April 20, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.15 — +15.0% better than the market.

Gazişehir Gaziantep holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Kayserispor, who struggle on the road. Gaziantep’s solid defensive shape and higher offensive output suggest they can control the game tempo, while Kayserispor’s recent form shows signs of fragility. The match may lean towards a compact, tactical battle with moderate goal expectations given the balanced pace hinted by odds.

Home side’s defensive resilience vs away’s modest attack
Recent form favors Gaziantep’s consistency
Likely a controlled tempo with limited goal bursts

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.15 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GAZ 4-3-3 · KAY 4-2-3-1

GAZ · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · KAY

11 Lungoyi

📊 Statistics

GAZ 3 – 0 KAY

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.38

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.84

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gaziantep FK beat Kayserispor 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.38 to 0.84. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.87 units (Brier 0.133).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.23	—	53%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
BTTS No	2.33	—	50%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.15	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.85	—	47%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.44	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	—	74%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.20	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.35	—	78%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	53%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.05	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	71%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Away Win	3.40	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.87u	−23% ROI