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Home › England › Premier League › Manchester United — Liverpool

Predictions by Market: Manchester United vs Liverpool

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 14:30
3:2
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester Referee Darren England, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MUN
41%
Best 2.35
Draw
24%
Best 3.90
Away Win · LIV
35%
Best 3.02
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.83
book 2.88 · +1.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 35% · EV +1.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (65%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.91
Show model details
Implied probability 34.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83.1%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.9%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MUN – LIV @ 2.88
+1.9%
Edge
Forecast →