Match Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.83 — +13.6% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GOZ 3-4-1-2 · KAS 4-2-3-1

GOZ · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · KAS

9 Silva

📊 Statistics

GOZ 3 – 3 KAS

53%

Possession (%)

47%

2.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

67%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Göztepe and Kasımpaşa drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.35 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 8, 6 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.67 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.19 units (Brier 0.277).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.83	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.87	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.99	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.95	—	42%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.18	—	38%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	41%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.25	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.26	—	84%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.40	—	64%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.27	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	87%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.48	—	26%	Cashed	+2.48	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.20	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.39	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.45	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.90	—	19%	Cashed	+2.90	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.19u	+1% ROI