P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Sunderland — Nottingham Forest

Predictions by Market: Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Fri 24 Apr · 19:00
0:5
Full-time
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
W W D L D Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Darren England, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SUN
44%
Best 2.80
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · NOT
29%
Best 2.86
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 9.50
Fair odds
8.28
book 9.50 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 12% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (88%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.5%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.39
Show model details
Implied probability 29.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 80.8%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19.2%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.5%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
SUN – NOT @ 9.50
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →