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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Samsunspor — Konyaspor

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 05 Apr · 11:30
2:2
Full-time
Konyaspor
Konyaspor
W W L L L Away · last 5
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu · Samsun Referee H. U. Meler
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.38 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.98 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.74 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.07 – 2.40
Δ −0.33
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.25 — +4.2% better than the market.

Samsunspor holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a competitive clash. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Konyaspor's sharper attack, setting up a tactical battle where Samsunspor's compact block may limit chances. Recent form favors Konyaspor, who carry momentum and a pressing edge, but Samsunspor's home resilience and set-piece threat could prove decisive.

  • Home defensive strength vs away offensive threat
  • Close form gap with away momentum
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds suggests balanced tempo

Expect a tight contest with potential for limited goals, as both sides balance attack and defense carefully.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 3.25 ✗ Lost
AI 32% Implied 31% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAM 2 – 2 KON
63%
Possession (%)
37%
2.07
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.40
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
2
14
Shots Inside Box
7
8
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
14
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Samsunspor and Konyaspor drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.10 units (Brier 0.240).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.38 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.98 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.74 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.19 — 42% Cashed +1.19 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 — 48% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.63 — 52% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.65 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.44 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 76% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 — 68% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.25 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 — 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.25 — 28% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.10 — 22% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
Away Win 3.51 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.10u −1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SAM – KON @ 3.25
+4.2%
Edge
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