Match Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +14.0% better than the market.

Kasimpasa holds a clear quality edge and a defensive advantage at home, which could stifle Kayserispor's slightly stronger attack. Both sides show mixed recent form, but Kasimpasa's compact block and home momentum may limit Kayserispor's chances. Expect a cautious pace given balanced over/under odds, with a low-scoring game likely.

Kasimpasa's defensive solidity vs Kayserispor's attack
Home edge in tactical discipline
Balanced recent form suggests tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed

AI 54% Implied 48% +1.10u

+110%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KAS 4-2-3-1 · KAY 4-4-2

KAS · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · KAY

19 Benedyczak

📊 Statistics

KAS 2 – 0 KAY

38%

Possession (%)

62%

0.33

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.32

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kasımpaşa beat Kayserispor 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 8 shots to 4, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.33 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.06 units (Brier 0.116).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.98	—	59%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Home Win	2.20	—	53%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	54%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.73	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.74	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.92	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.48	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	78%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	79%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.76	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.56	—	53%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	89%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	66%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Away Win	3.45	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.06u	−24% ROI