Match Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor March 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Trabzonspor arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Kadir Has Stadium. Kayserispor’s home momentum is limited by defensive vulnerabilities, while Trabzonspor’s attacking threat should exploit these gaps. Expect a moderately paced game with chances for both sides, but Trabzonspor’s sharper offense and consistent form tilt the balance.

Trabzonspor’s offensive edge against Kayserispor’s defense
Home side’s struggle to convert recent draws and losses
Moderate tempo indicated by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

KAY 4-2-3-1 · TRA 4-2-3-1

KAY · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · TRA

63 Chalov

📊 Statistics

KAY 1 – 3 TRA

32%

Possession (%)

68%

1.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.65

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

93%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Trabzonspor won 3–1 away at Kayserispor. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 93% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.65 to 1.90. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.19 units (Brier 0.159).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.05	—	56%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS No	2.18	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.06	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.84	—	53%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	54%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.83	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.70	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.31	—	80%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	31%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.48	—	56%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	76%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.66	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.70	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.19u	−19% ROI