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Home Turkey Süper Lig Konyaspor — Kasımpaşa

Match Konyaspor vs Kasımpaşa March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Konyaspor
Konyaspor
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
W L D L W Away · last 5
Referee Umit Ozturk, Türkiye
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.96
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.76
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 55% · book 2.14
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.70 – 1.89
Δ +0.81
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.96 — +13.5% better than the market.

Konyaspor holds a clear quality edge and a solid defensive record at home, which could frustrate Kasimpasa given their struggles to break down defenses. Both sides show similar recent form, but Konyaspor's home momentum and better attacking matchup suggest a tight contest with limited goals. Expect a compact block from Kasimpasa and cautious play from Konyaspor, favoring a low-scoring game.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive challenges
  • Similar form but home edge in quality
  • Odds hint at a controlled pace and under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.96 ✗ Lost
AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

KON 11 KAS
64%
Possession (%)
36%
2.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.89
11
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
2
6
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
19
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
68%
5
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Konyaspor and Kasımpaşa drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 80% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.70 to 1.89. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 6, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.22 units (Brier 0.168).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.96 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.76 63% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Home Win 2.14 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.19 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.77 45% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.86 42% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.25 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.26 83% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 63% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.48 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 81% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 87% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.35 27% Cashed +2.35 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.95 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.31 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.76 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.22u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
KON – KAS @ 1.96
+13.5%
Edge
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