Match Samsunspor vs Gaziantep FK March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Samsunspor holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Gazisehir's stronger attack, setting up an intriguing tactical battle. Recent form is fairly balanced, but Samsunspor's home momentum and compact block could frustrate the visitors.

Home edge in defense vs away attacking threat
Balanced recent form with slight home momentum
Moderate pace expected from odds on totals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

SAM 3-4-3 · GAZ 3-4-3

SAM · 3-4-3 3-4-3 · GAZ

47 Assoumou

📊 Statistics

SAM 0 – 0 GAZ

60%

Possession (%)

40%

0.93

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.24

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Samsunspor and Gaziantep FK drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.93 to 0.24. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +10.75 units (Brier 0.324).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.77	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.96	—	53%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS No	1.99	—	50%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.86	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.92	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.15	—	40%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	83%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.30	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.66	—	28%	Cashed	+2.66	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.37	—	74%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.50	—	9%	Cashed	+10.50	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Cashed	+2.90	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.88	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.52	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+10.75u	+63% ROI