Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor 0:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.97 — +11.0% better than the market.

Kasimpasa hosts Rizespor in a Süper Lig clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and better recent form. Rizespor's sharper attack faces a Kasimpasa defense that has struggled, suggesting away momentum could prevail. However, Kasimpasa's home familiarity and a modest home edge may keep the game tight.

Rizespor's offensive edge against Kasimpasa's leaky defense
Kasimpasa's home comfort balancing the visitors' form
Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds, favoring a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.97 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

KAS 4-2-3-1 · RIZ 4-3-3

KAS · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · RIZ

23 Tosun

Statistics

KAS 0 – 3 RIZ

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Rizespor won 3–0 away at Kasımpaşa. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.42 to 0.73. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.42 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.77 units (Brier 0.161).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.97	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.80	—	44%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
BTTS No	2.17	—	51%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.05	—	44%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.72	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.92	—	44%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Home Win	2.57	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.86	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.54	—	70%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	—	76%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.47	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	69%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.77u	−16% ROI

Kasımpaşa vs Rizespor 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled