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Home › England › Premier League › Liverpool — Crystal Palace

Predictions by Market: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
L D L D L Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee A. Madley

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIV
70%
Best 1.60
Draw
19%
Best 4.67
Away Win · CRY
11%
Best 5.74
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.40
Fair odds
5.07
book 5.40 · +6.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 20% · EV +6.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (80%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.4%
Odds 5.08
Show model details
Implied probability 19.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10.8%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LIV – CRY @ 5.40
+6.4%
Edge
Forecast →