Match Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor February 22, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Antalyaspor arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Kayserispor’s defensive solidity is notable, but their recent struggles dampen home momentum. The tactical battle may hinge on Antalyaspor’s ability to break down a compact home block while managing Kayserispor’s set-piece threat.

Antalyaspor’s stronger overall profile and recent points per game advantage
Home side’s defensive resilience but poor recent results
Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

KAY 4-1-4-1 · ANT 4-1-4-1

KAY · 4-1-4-1 4-1-4-1 · ANT

9 Onugkha

📊 Statistics

KAY 1 – 0 ANT

53%

Possession (%)

47%

2.02

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.96

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kayserispor beat Antalyaspor 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.02 to 0.96. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.42 units (Brier 0.172).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.06	—	58%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.88	—	63%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.00	—	41%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.12	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	82%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.55	—	38%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Away Win	4.11	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.97	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	68%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	86%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.41	—	41%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.62	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.42u	−14% ROI

Match Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled