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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Fenerbahçe — Kasımpaşa

Predictions by Market: Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 D L W W D
Kick-off
Mon 23 Feb · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
W L D L W Away · last 5
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu · Istanbul Referee Yasin Kol, Türkiye

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FEN
78%
Best 1.30
Draw
16%
Best 5.70
Away Win · KAS
6%
Best 9.49
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.57
Fair odds
2.39
book 2.57 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +7.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (58%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 16%
Odds 6.71
Show model details
Implied probability 14.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.7%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 5.19
Show model details
Implied probability 19.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.7%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 21.6%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
FEN – KAS @ 2.57
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →