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Home Turkey Süper Lig Fenerbahçe — Kasımpaşa

Predictions Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa February 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 D L W W D
Kick-off
Mon 23 Feb · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
W L D L W Away · last 5
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu · Istanbul Referee Yasin Kol, Türkiye
Home Win · FEN
78%
Best 1.30
Draw
16%
Best 5.70
Away Win · KAS
6%
Best 9.49
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.57
Fair odds
2.39
book 2.57 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +7.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (58%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16%
Odds 6.71
Show model details
Implied probability 14.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 5.7%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 5.19
Show model details
Implied probability 19.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.7%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 21.6%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
FEN – KAS @ 2.57
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →