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Home Turkey Süper Lig Göztepe — Kayserispor

Match Göztepe vs Kayserispor February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Göztepe
Göztepe
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 14:00
0:0
Full-time
Kayserispor
Kayserispor
L W D L W Away · last 5
Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu · İzmir Referee A. Akarsu
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.84
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.62
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.75
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.05 – 0.98
Δ +0.07
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.84 — +9.3% better than the market.

Goztepe arrives with strong home momentum, showing solid form and a clear quality edge over Kayserispor. Their offensive pressure meets a vulnerable away defense, suggesting control in the midfield and chances created from set-pieces. Kayserispor’s recent struggles and defensive frailty hint at a tough outing, while Goztepe’s compact block and home crowd support add to their advantage.

  • Home side’s attacking edge vs away defense
  • Superior recent form and home confidence
  • Likely moderate pace with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.84 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 54% +0.84u
+84%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

GOZ 00 KAY
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.05
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.98
17
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
5
14
Fouls
9
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Göztepe and Kayserispor drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 78% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +8.91 units (Brier 0.303).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.84 59% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Home Win 1.62 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.75 58% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.10 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.42 35% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.05 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 34% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.15 88% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.21 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 11% Cashed +9.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.31 79% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 89% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.04 23% Cashed +3.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.34 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.55 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.13 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.57 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +8.91u +52% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
GOZ – KAY @ 1.84
+9.3%
Edge
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