Match Galatasaray vs Kayserispor February 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.98 — +7.4% better than the market.

Galatasaray enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Kayserispor's defense. Their recent form shows resilience and ability to secure points, contrasting with Kayserispor's struggles and defensive vulnerabilities. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat should challenge the visitors, who face a tough task breaking down a disciplined Galatasaray defense.

Home attacking pressure likely to dominate
Kayserispor's defensive frailties exposed
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.98 ✗ Lost

AI 54% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GAL 4-2-3-1 · KAY 4-1-4-1

GAL · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · KAY

45 Osimhen

📊 Statistics

GAL 4 – 0 KAY

67%

Possession (%)

33%

3.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.65

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Galatasaray beat Kayserispor 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.32 to 0.65. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 9, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.50 units (Brier 0.083).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.98	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.87	—	51%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.92	—	46%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Draw	10.80	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.40	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Home Win	1.16	—	84%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.03	—	84%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 1.5	8.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	6.75	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	27.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.11	—	86%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.36	—	67%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	20.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	12.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.50u	−38% ROI