Match Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa January 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.12 — +14.5% better than the market.

Trabzonspor Looks to Assert Dominance at Papara Park

Trabzonspor holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum, having shown resilience in recent matches. Their attacking prowess is well-matched against Kasimpasa's defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting a pressing edge for the hosts. Kasimpasa’s compact block and defensive discipline might limit scoring chances, but Trabzonspor’s higher tempo and home support should tilt the balance.

Strong home form and offensive firepower
Kasimpasa’s defensive solidity tested
Moderate pace expected, favoring controlled build-up

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.12 ✗ Lost

AI 54% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TRA 4-2-3-1 · KAS 4-1-4-1

TRA · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · KAS

99 Augusto

📊 Statistics

TRA 2 – 1 KAS

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.65

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Trabzonspor beat Kasımpaşa 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 6, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.82 units (Brier 0.104).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.12	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.33	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.68	—	52%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.61	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	46%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.63	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	—	70%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Home Win	1.57	—	67%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.68	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.16	—	88%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.21	—	67%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	—	75%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Away Win	6.30	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.78	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.82u	−34% ROI