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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Beşiktaş — Kayserispor

Predictions by Market: Beşiktaş vs Kayserispor

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Mon 19 Jan · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Kayserispor
Kayserispor
L W D L W Away · last 5
Tüpraş Stadyumu · İstanbul Referee Ozan Ergun, Türkiye

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BES
71%
Best 1.38
Draw
19%
Best 5.18
Away Win · KAY
10%
Best 6.80
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.50
Fair odds
6.25
book 6.50 · +3.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 16% · EV +3.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (84%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.9%
Odds 5.19
Show model details
Implied probability 19.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10%
Odds 7.20
Show model details
Implied probability 13.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.77
Show model details
Implied probability 36.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.4%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.97
Show model details
Implied probability 33.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BES – KAY @ 6.50
+3.9%
Edge
Forecast →