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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Leeds — Wolves

Match Leeds vs Wolves April 18, 2026

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 14:00
3:0
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee T. Robinson
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.97 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.69 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.91 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.78 – 0.54
Δ +2.24
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.97 — +10.6% better than the market.

Leeds hold a clear quality edge over Wolves, boosted by a solid home defensive record and a pressing style that challenges Wolves' less potent attack. Despite recent mixed form, Leeds' home momentum and tactical discipline could stifle Wolves, who have shown signs of inconsistency on the road. The match may lean towards a controlled pace with fewer goals, given the balanced over/under odds.

  • Leeds' defensive resilience at Elland Road
  • Wolves' struggle to break down compact blocks
  • Home form slightly better, suggesting a narrow advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.97 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEE 3-4-2-1 · WOL 3-4-2-1
LEE · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · WOL 26 Darlow 24 Justin ⚽ 15 Bijol 5 Struijk 2 Bogle 4 Ampadu 22 Tanaka 3 Gudmundsson 11 Aaronson 19 Okafor ⚽ 9 Calvert-Lewin ⚽ 25 Bentley 4 Bueno 24 Gomes 37 Krejčí 38 Tchatchoua 7 André 8 Gomes 3 Bueno 27 Bellegarde 47 Gomes 9 Armstrong
Subs used · LEE
67' Gnonto ↑ · Okafor ↓
78' Gruev ↑ · Aaronson ↓
90+6' Rodon ↑ · Gudmundsson ↓
90+6' Nmecha ↑ · Calvert-Lewin ↓
90+6' Longstaff ↑ · Tanaka ↓
Subs used · WOL
38' Mane ↑ · Gomes ↓
46' Lima ↑ · Tchatchoua ↓
67' Gomes ↑ · Bellegarde ↓
75' Hee-Chan ↑ · Krejci ↓

📊 Statistics

LEE 3 – 0 WOL
56%
Possession (%)
44%
2.78
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.54
17
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
2
15
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
17
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 0
J. Justin
Assist · N. Okafor · 1–0
⚽
18'
N. Okafor
Assist · B. Aaronson · 2–0
⚽
20'
38'
⇄
M. Mane ↓ · A. Gomes ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
Pedro Lima ↓ · J. Tchatchoua ↑
Substitution 2
W. Gnonto ↓ · N. Okafor ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
67'
⇄
R. Gomes ↓ · J. Bellegarde ↑
Substitution 3
Brenden Aaronson
Yellow Card
▮
73'
75'
⇄
Hwang Hee-Chan ↓ · L. Krejci ↑
Substitution 4
I. Gruev ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
D. Calvert-Lewin (P)
Penalty · 3–0
⚽
90'
90+3'
▮
Hugo Bueno
Yellow Card
J. Rodon ↓ · G. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90+6'
L. Nmecha ↓ · D. Calvert-Lewin ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+6'
S. Longstaff ↓ · A. Tanaka ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+6'
James Justin
Yellow Card
▮
90+12'
Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.97 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.69 — 65% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 — 56% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.97 — 44% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.38 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 — 77% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.19 — 87% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.25 — 65% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.16 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.31 — 69% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.40 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.80 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.26 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.25u −31% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
LEE – WOL @ 1.97
+10.6%
Edge
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