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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Galatasaray — Samsunspor

Predictions by Market: Galatasaray vs Samsunspor

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Fri 05 Dec · 17:00
3:2
Full-time
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
W W W L W Away · last 5
Referee Mehmet Turkmen, Türkiye

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GAL
70%
Best 1.50
Draw
20%
Best 4.35
Away Win · SAM
10%
Best 5.80
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.52
Fair odds
2.35
book 2.52 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (58%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.8%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10%
Odds 7.23
Show model details
Implied probability 13.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 64%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83.8%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.2%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.7%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 29.8%
Odds 3.02
Show model details
Implied probability 33.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GAL – SAM @ 2.52
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →