Rizespor vs Kayserispor 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.95 — +12.9% better than the market.

Rizespor holds a clear quality edge at home, backed by a solid defensive setup that could frustrate Kayserispor. The home side’s recent form shows resilience, while Kayserispor’s away struggles and defensive vulnerabilities may limit their attacking threat. Expect a controlled pace with Rizespor leveraging their home momentum and defensive discipline.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Rizespor’s better recent form and home edge
Moderate tempo likely, favoring compact play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.95 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

RIZ 4-2-3-1 · KAY 4-2-3-1

RIZ · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KAY

15 Jurečka

99 Bulut

9 Sowe

25 Bayazit

28 Civelek

15 Bennasser

4 Denswil

23 Carole

33 Soyalp

Statistics

RIZ 0 – 1 KAY

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kayserispor won 1–0 away at Rizespor. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.35 units (Brier 0.321).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.95	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	—	49%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	47%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.93	—	42%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	71%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	25%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.29	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.85	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.42	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.23	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.89	—	18%	Cashed	+1.89	Cashed
Away Win	3.98	—	18%	Cashed	+2.98	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.35u	+20% ROI

Rizespor vs Kayserispor 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled