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Home England Premier League Manchester City — Arsenal

Predictions Manchester City vs Arsenal April 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 15:30
2:1
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Home Win · MCI
45%
Best 1.85
Draw
24%
Best 3.60
Away Win · ARS
30%
Best 4.33
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.96
Fair odds
1.71
book 1.96 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 58% · EV +14.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.4%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30.3%
Odds 4.52
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds 3.21
Show model details
Implied probability 31.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 80%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.1%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.4%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.6%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
MCI – ARS @ 1.96
+14.5%
Edge
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