Match Rizespor vs Fatih Karagümrük November 3, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

Rizespor holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive setup that could frustrate Fatih Karagümrük. Despite the visitors' slightly better recent points per game, their defensive frailties and away struggles suggest a tough outing. Expect a controlled pace with Rizespor leveraging their home comfort and defensive resilience to limit chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away attacking pressure
Rizespor's home edge in tactical discipline
Fatih Karagümrük's recent form dip and away challenges

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

RIZ 4-2-3-1 · KAR 4-2-3-1

RIZ · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KAR

15 Jurečka

📊 Statistics

RIZ 1 – 0 KAR

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.65

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.76

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

67%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Rizespor beat Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.65 to 0.76. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.00 units (Brier 0.161).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.79	—	61%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.06	—	52%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
BTTS No	2.06	—	50%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.86	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.20	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	27%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	85%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	73%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.31	—	61%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.97	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.75	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.52	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.00u	−12% ROI

Match Rizespor vs Fatih Karagümrük November 3, 2025 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled