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Home England Premier League Chelsea — Manchester United

Predictions Chelsea vs Manchester United April 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 19:00
0:1
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W W D W W Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Michael Oliver, England
Home Win · CHE
36%
Best 2.12
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · MUN
39%
Best 3.25
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.70
Fair odds
1.55
book 1.70 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +9.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 39.2%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 35.9%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 16.1%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 35.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.