Match Kayserispor vs Samsunspor October 19, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Kayserispor and Samsunspor, the away team seems to have a slight edge. Samsunspor's estimated probability of winning is 49.48%, with odds of 2.38, indicating a potential value in backing them. The defensive shape of both teams suggests a low-scoring affair, with the 'Under 2.5 Goals' market offering a high estimated probability of 58.51% at odds of 1.93. Additionally, the 'BTTS No' market is appealing, given the 51.64% estimated probability and odds of 2.14.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

KAY 4-2-3-1 · SAM 4-1-4-1

KAY · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · SAM

22 Tuci

📊 Statistics

KAY 1 – 3 SAM

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.62

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Samsunspor won 3–1 away at Kayserispor. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.62 to 1.19. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.98 units (Brier 0.217).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.38	—	49%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.93	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.14	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	75%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.65	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.99	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.52	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	48%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.30	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	68%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.97	—	41%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	—	22%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.60	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.17	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.71	—	49%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.98u	−12% ROI