Besiktas are expected to dominate against Genclerbirligi, with a strong home advantage and superior form. The odds favor a home win, but the value lies in exploring other markets such as 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No'.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 2–1 away at Beşiktaş. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.90 to 0.62. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +13.25 units (Brier 0.329).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 2.84 | — | 37% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 6.36 | — | 16% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.75 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.75 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 2.00 | — | 51% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 | — | 63% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.29 | — | 77% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 11.00 | — | 7% | Cashed | +10.00 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.93 | — | 49% | Cashed | +0.93 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.03 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 22.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 | — | 84% | Cashed | +0.15 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 6.00 | — | 16% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.28 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.06 | — | 93% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 4.19 | — | 23% | Cashed | +3.19 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.10 | — | 77% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 7.70 | — | 7% | Cashed | +6.70 | Cashed |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | +13.25u | +78% ROI |
