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Home › England › Premier League › Newcastle — Bournemouth

Predictions by Market: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D W W D D Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee T. Bramall

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NEW
43%
Best 2.15
Draw
23%
Best 3.70
Away Win · BOU
34%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.93
Fair odds
1.74
book 1.93 · +10.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +10.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (66%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 34.1%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.9%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.3%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.77
Show model details
Implied probability 36.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
NEW – BOU @ 1.93
+10.7%
Edge
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