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Home Turkey Süper Lig Antalyaspor — Rizespor

Match Antalyaspor vs Rizespor October 3, 2025 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig
Antalyaspor
Antalyaspor
Home · last 5 L L D L W
Kick-off
Fri 03 Oct · 17:00
2:5
Full-time
Rizespor
Rizespor
D L W L D Away · last 5
Corendon Airlines Park · Antalya Referee Ozan Ergun, Türkiye
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.01
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 30% · book 4.50
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 70% · book 1.50
Total goals
7
2 · 5
xG (open play)
1.03 – 1.70
Δ −0.67
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
1 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Antalyaspor vs Rizespor — prediction & betting preview. The model leans to Antalyaspor at Corendon Airlines Park: the hosts project the stronger overall balance and a steadier defensive shape, while Rizespor’s away attack has been uneven. That tilt, plus venue effects, keeps home-sided outcomes slightly favored.

Game script & totals. Expect a controlled tempo with long spells of cautious possession and limited transition space. A medium-to-low scoring baseline fits unless an early goal flips the game state. Safer positions cluster around unders and conservative home protection; higher variance lives in chasing very low totals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ANT 25 RIZ
51%
Possession (%)
49%
1.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.70
15
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
7
3
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
16
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Rizespor won 5–2 away at Antalyaspor. At half-time it was 1–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 1.03. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.70 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 1 landed and 6 missed, for a net -5.95 units (Brier 0.326).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 1 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.01 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.23 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.52 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.52 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 1 W · 6 L −5.95u −85% ROI