Match Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor October 3, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor — prediction & betting preview. The model leans clearly to the hosts: Trabzonspor project stronger overall balance, cleaner chance creation and a sturdier back line at Papara Park. Kayserispor arrive with limited attacking punch and recent draws/losses keeping their ceiling modest.

Game script & totals. Expect Trabzonspor to control long stretches and keep the visitors’ shot quality down. A medium scoring baseline fits (2–3 goals), with unders well protected unless an early goal flips the game state. Safer angles center on home-sided protection and goal suppression for the visitors; higher variance lives in chasing late overs after an early strike.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

TRA 4-2-3-1 · KAY 4-1-4-1

TRA · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · KAY

30 Onuachu

📊 Statistics

TRA 4 – 0 KAY

52%

Possession (%)

48%

4.04

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Trabzonspor beat Kayserispor 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.04 to 1.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 17, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 6 graded markets, 4 landed and 2 missed, for a net -0.29 units (Brier 0.175).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

6 · 4 W · 2 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.01	—	54%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.23	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.52	—	66%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	87%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Total · 6 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	4 W · 2 L	−0.29u	−5% ROI