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Home › England › Premier League › Sunderland — Tottenham

Sunderland vs Tottenham 1:0: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 13:00
1:0
Full-time
Tottenham
Tottenham
W W D L W Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee R. Jones
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.92 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.15 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 41% · book 2.78 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.79 – 0.91
Δ +0.88
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.15 — +13.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.15 ✓ Cashed
AI 53% Implied 47% +1.15u
+115%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · TOT 4-2-3-1
Subs used · SUN
82' Talbi ↑ · Rigg ↓
82' Hume ↑ · Mukiele ↓
90+8' Isidor ↑ · Brobbey ↓
Subs used · TOT
61' Palhinha ↑ · Gray ↓
61' Tel ↑ · Richarlison ↓
61' M. Sarr ↑ · Bergvall ↓
70' Danso ↑ · Romero ↓
85' Simons ↑ · Gallagher ↓

Statistics

SUN 1 – 0 TOT
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.79
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.91
13
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
6
14
Fouls
15
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
3
Yellow Cards
3
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
28'
▮
Cristian Romero
Yellow Card
Brian Brobbey
Yellow Card
▮
33'
37'
▮
Pedro Porro
Yellow Card
37'
▮
Micky van de Ven
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
61'
⇄
J. Palhinha ↓ · A. Gray ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
M. Tel ↓ · Richarlison ↑
Substitution 2
61'
⇄
P. M. Sarr ↓ · L. Bergvall ↑
Substitution 3
N. Mukiele
Assist · H. Diarra · 1–0
⚽
61'
70'
⇄
K. Danso ↓ · C. Romero ↑
Substitution 4
Chris Rigg
Yellow Card
▮
75'
C. Talbi ↓ · C. Rigg ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
82'
T. Hume ↓ · N. Mukiele ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
82'
85'
⇄
X. Simons ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑
Substitution 5
Trai Hume
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90+8'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Sunderland beat Tottenham 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.79 to 0.91. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Mukiele (61').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.62 units (Brier 0.217).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.92 — 59% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS No 2.15 — 53% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Away Win 2.78 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.70 — 34% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.02 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.76 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.99 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.95 — 34% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.52 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 — 59% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 — 33% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.34 — 78% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 89% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.50 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.41 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.62u −4% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
SUN – TOT @ 2.15
+13.9%
Edge
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