Match Sunderland vs Tottenham April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.92 — +13.1% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.92u

+92%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · TOT 4-2-3-1

SUN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · TOT

9 Brobbey

Subs used · SUN

82'

Talbi ↑ ·

Rigg ↓

82'

Hume ↑ ·

Mukiele ↓

90+8'

Isidor ↑ ·

Brobbey ↓

Subs used · TOT

61'

Palhinha ↑ ·

Gray ↓

61'

Tel ↑ ·

Richarlison ↓

61'

M. Sarr ↑ ·

Bergvall ↓

70'

Danso ↑ ·

Romero ↓

85'

Simons ↑ ·

Gallagher ↓

📊 Statistics

SUN 1 – 0 TOT

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.79

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.91

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 0

28'

▮

Cristian Romero

Yellow Card

Brian Brobbey

Yellow Card

▮

33'

37'

▮

Pedro Porro

Yellow Card

37'

▮

Micky van de Ven

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

61'

⇄

J. Palhinha ↓ · A. Gray ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

M. Tel ↓ · Richarlison ↑

Substitution 2

61'

⇄

P. M. Sarr ↓ · L. Bergvall ↑

Substitution 3

N. Mukiele

Assist · H. Diarra · 1–0

⚽

61'

70'

⇄

K. Danso ↓ · C. Romero ↑

Substitution 4

Chris Rigg

Yellow Card

▮

75'

C. Talbi ↓ · C. Rigg ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

82'

T. Hume ↓ · N. Mukiele ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

82'

85'

⇄

X. Simons ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑

Substitution 5

Trai Hume

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+8'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Sunderland beat Tottenham 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.79 to 0.91. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Mukiele (61').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.62 units (Brier 0.217).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	59%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	53%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Away Win	2.78	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.70	—	34%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.02	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.99	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.95	—	34%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.52	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	59%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	33%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.34	—	78%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	89%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.41	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.62u	−4% ROI