Match Brentford vs Everton April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Brentford holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a controlled tempo at Brentford Community Stadium. Their recent form shows some resilience, though Everton's sharper recent results hint at growing momentum. Brentford's offense faces a tough Everton defense, but their compact block and home rhythm could limit Everton's chances.

Home edge in defense may stifle Everton's attack
Everton's recent form signals confidence
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · EVE 4-2-3-1

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · EVE

9 Thiago ⚽

Subs used · BRE

46'

Nelson ↑ ·

Damsgaard ↓

Subs used · EVE

74'

George ↑ ·

McNeil ↓

74'

Barry ↑ ·

Beto ↓

74'

Iroegbunam ↑ ·

Gueye ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 2 – 2 EVE

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.40

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.51

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

10 · 2 – 2

▮

Jordan Pickford

Yellow Card

I. Thiago (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

26'

⚽

Beto

Assist · I. Gueye · 1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

R. Nelson ↓ · M. Damsgaard ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

47'

▮

James Garner

Yellow Card

74'

⇄

T. George ↓ · D. McNeil ↑

Substitution 1

74'

⇄

T. Barry ↓ · Beto ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

T. Iroegbunam ↓ · I. Gueye ↑

Substitution 3

I. Thiago

Assist · M. Kayode · 2–1

⚽

76'

90'

⚽

K. Dewsbury-Hall

2–2

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Brentford and Everton drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.40 to 1.51. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: I. Thiago (3'), Beto (26'), I. Thiago (76'), K. Dewsbury-Hall (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.44 units (Brier 0.216).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.23	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.04	—	50%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
BTTS No	2.05	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.91	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	52%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.74	—	47%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.61	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	79%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.55	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.70	—	28%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	74%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.34	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.62	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.44u	−3% ROI