P
Prognosist
P
Home England Premier League Chelsea — Manchester City

Predictions Chelsea vs Manchester City April 12, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 15:30
0:3
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Home Win · CHE
23%
Best 3.50
Draw
24%
Best 3.88
Away Win · MCI
54%
Best 1.95
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.48
Fair odds
2.26
book 2.48 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +9.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 53.6%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.53
Show model details
Implied probability 39.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.4%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.2%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 22.7%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.