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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League West Ham — Wolves

Match West Ham vs Wolves April 10, 2026 — Result and Stats

West Ham
West Ham
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Fri 10 Apr · 19:00
4:0
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
London Stadium · London Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 2.08
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.10
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.88
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.68 – 0.56
Δ +1.12
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

West Ham hold a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive record that should challenge Wolves' moderate attack. Wolves have shown resilience recently but face a tough task breaking down a compact West Ham block. The pace hints at a controlled tempo, favoring a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring chances.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • West Ham's home advantage and form consistency
  • Likely cautious approach with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

WES 4-4-1-1 · WOL 3-5-1-1
Subs used · WES
78' Traore ↑ · Summerville
78' Potts ↑ · Pablo
82' Wilson ↑ · Castellanos
85' Magassa ↑ · Fernandes
Subs used · WOL
61' Gomes ↑ · Gomes
61' Mane ↑ · Bellegarde
71' Hee-Chan ↑ · Armstrong
71' Arokodare ↑ · Mosquera
85' Edozie

📊 Statistics

WES 40 WOL
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.56
18
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
6
14
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
7
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 4 – 0
9'
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Yellow Card
20'
Yerson Mosquera
Yellow Card
Mateus Fernandes
Yellow Card
31'
K. Mavropanos
Assist · J. Bowen · 1–0
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Valentín Castellanos
Yellow Card
52'
61'
R. Gomes ↓ · A. Gomes ↑
Substitution 1
61'
M. Mane ↓ · J. Bellegarde ↑
Substitution 2
T. Castellanos
Assist · Pablo · 2–0
66'
T. Castellanos
Assist · J. Bowen · 3–0
68'
71'
Hwang Hee-Chan ↓ · A. Armstrong ↑
Substitution 3
71'
T. Arokodare ↓ · Y. Mosquera ↑
Substitution 4
A. Traore ↓ · C. Summerville ↑
Substitution 1
78'
F. Potts ↓ · Pablo ↑
Substitution 2
78'
C. Wilson ↓ · T. Castellanos ↑
Substitution 3
82'
K. Mavropanos
4–0
83'
S. Magassa ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 4
85'
85'
T. Edozie ↓ ·
Substitution 5
Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

West Ham beat Wolves 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.68 to 0.56. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.68 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: K. Mavropanos (42'), T. Castellanos (66'), T. Castellanos (68'), K. Mavropanos (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.92 units (Brier 0.185).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.08 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 55% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.88 60% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.89 42% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.02 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.79 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.38 60% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 89% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 66% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Away Win 4.60 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 21% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.30 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.92u −17% ROI