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Home › England › Premier League › West Ham — Wolves

West Ham vs Wolves 4:0: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
West Ham
West Ham
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Fri 10 Apr · 19:00
4:0
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
London Stadium · London Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 2.08 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.10 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.88 ✓
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.68 – 0.56
Δ +1.12
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.88 — +13.4% better than the market.

West Ham hold a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive record that should challenge Wolves' moderate attack. Wolves have shown resilience recently but face a tough task breaking down a compact West Ham block. The pace hints at a controlled tempo, favoring a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring chances.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • West Ham's home advantage and form consistency
  • Likely cautious approach with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.88 ✓ Cashed
AI 60% Implied 53% +0.88u
+88%
ROI on stake

Lineups

WES 4-4-1-1 · WOL 3-5-1-1
Subs used · WES
78' Traore ↑ · Summerville ↓
78' Potts ↑ · Pablo ↓
82' Wilson ↑ · Castellanos ↓
85' Magassa ↑ · Fernandes ↓
Subs used · WOL
61' Gomes ↑ · Gomes ↓
61' Mane ↑ · Bellegarde ↓
71' Hee-Chan ↑ · Armstrong ↓
71' Arokodare ↑ · Mosquera ↓
85' Edozie ↑

Statistics

WES 4 – 0 WOL
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.56
18
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
6
14
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
7
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 4 – 0
9'
▮
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Yellow Card
20'
▮
Yerson Mosquera
Yellow Card
Mateus Fernandes
Yellow Card
▮
31'
K. Mavropanos
Assist · J. Bowen · 1–0
⚽
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Valentín Castellanos
Yellow Card
▮
52'
61'
⇄
R. Gomes ↓ · A. Gomes ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
M. Mane ↓ · J. Bellegarde ↑
Substitution 2
T. Castellanos
Assist · Pablo · 2–0
⚽
66'
T. Castellanos
Assist · J. Bowen · 3–0
⚽
68'
71'
⇄
Hwang Hee-Chan ↓ · A. Armstrong ↑
Substitution 3
71'
⇄
T. Arokodare ↓ · Y. Mosquera ↑
Substitution 4
A. Traore ↓ · C. Summerville ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
78'
F. Potts ↓ · Pablo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
C. Wilson ↓ · T. Castellanos ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
K. Mavropanos
4–0
⚽
83'
S. Magassa ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
T. Edozie ↓ ·
Substitution 5
Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

West Ham beat Wolves 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.68 to 0.56. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.68 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: K. Mavropanos (42'), T. Castellanos (66'), T. Castellanos (68'), K. Mavropanos (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.92 units (Brier 0.185).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.08 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 — 55% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.88 — 60% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.89 — 42% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.02 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.79 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.38 — 60% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 4.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 89% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 — 66% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Away Win 4.60 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 — 21% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.30 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.92u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
WES – WOL @ 1.88
+13.4%
Edge
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