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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › NEC Nijmegen — GO Ahead Eagles

Predictions by Market: NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Home · last 5 D D D L W
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 12:30
2:1
Full-time
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
D D D L L Away · last 5
Goffertstadion · Nijmegen Referee S. van der Eijk

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NIJ
73%
Best 1.43
Draw
18%
Best 5.25
Away Win · EAG
10%
Best 7.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.07
book 3.40 · +10.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +10.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (67%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.9%
Odds 5.55
Show model details
Implied probability 18%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 9.5%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.9%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 9.5%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.5%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
NIJ – EAG @ 3.40
+10.6%
Edge
Forecast →