Match Telstar vs Heracles May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.86 — +14.6% better than the market.

Telstar holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing signs of resilience with recent wins contrasting Heracles' struggles. Their defensive solidity could frustrate the visitors, who face a tough task breaking down a compact block. The home side's attacking threat matches well against Heracles' leaky defense, suggesting a controlled game with limited goals.

Home advantage with stronger overall squad
Telstar's defense likely to contain Heracles' attack
Recent form favors a steady, low-scoring encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.86 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 54% +0.86u

+86%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STO 3-4-2-1 · HER 4-2-3-1

STO · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · HER

37 Duijn

📊 Statistics

STO 3 – 0 HER

46%

Possession (%)

54%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Telstar beat Heracles 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 7, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.90 units (Brier 0.108).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.86	—	62%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	45%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.99	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.85	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.05	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.10	—	91%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Home Win	1.37	—	72%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.08	—	72%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	5.55	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.06	—	80%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.33	—	59%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Away Win	7.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.45	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.90u	−33% ROI