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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Utrecht — NAC Breda

Predictions by Market: Utrecht vs NAC Breda

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Utrecht
Utrecht
Home · last 5 W W W W D
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 14:30
2:0
Full-time
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
D L L W D Away · last 5
Stadion Galgenwaard · Utrecht Referee Alex Bos, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · UTR
61%
Best 1.74
Draw
23%
Best 4.07
Away Win · BRE
16%
Best 4.53
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
4.01
book 4.50 · +12.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +12.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.07
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 15.7%
Odds 4.53
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 15.7%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.3%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
UTR – BRE @ 4.50
+12.3%
Edge
Forecast →